Payne College Football Power Ratings
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Considers games played through 1/9/2012
| Game Day | Outcome | By | Visitor | Score | Home | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Win | 36 | NEW HAMPSHIRE | 22 | TOLEDO | 58 |
| 09/10 | Loss | 5 | TOLEDO | 22 | OHIO STATE | 27 |
| 09/16 | Loss | 25 | BOISE STATE | 40 | TOLEDO | 15 |
| 09/24 | Loss | 3 | TOLEDO | 30 | SYRACUSE | 33 |
| 10/01 | Win | 23 | TOLEDO | 36 | TEMPLE | 13 |
| 10/08 | Win | 38 | EASTERN MICH | 16 | TOLEDO | 54 |
| 10/15 | Win | 7 | TOLEDO | 28 | BOWLING GREEN | 21 |
| 10/22 | Win | 21 | MIAMI-OHIO | 28 | TOLEDO | 49 |
| 11/01 | Loss | 3 | NORTHERN ILL | 63 | TOLEDO | 60 |
| 11/08 | Win | 3 | WESTERN MICH | 63 | TOLEDO | 66 |
| 11/18 | Win | 27 | TOLEDO | 44 | CENTRAL MICH | 17 |
| 11/25 | Win | 17 | TOLEDO | 45 | BALL STATE | 28 |
| 12/28 | Win | 1 | TOLEDO | 42 | AIR FORCE | 41 |
| Game Day | Outcome | By | Visitor | Home | PWin |
|---|
| Predicted Final Season Record (Boolean Model) | 9 - 4 |
|---|---|
| Predicted Final Season Record (Probability Model) | 9.0 - 4.0 |
| Probability of Undefeated Season | 0% |