Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2021 NORTH CAROLINA Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/23/2021

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
09/03 Loss 7NORTH CAROLINA10VIRGINIA TECH17
09/11 Win 42GEORGIA STATE17NORTH CAROLINA59
09/18 Win 20VIRGINIA39NORTH CAROLINA59
09/25 Loss 23NORTH CAROLINA22GEORGIA TECH45
10/02 Win 31DUKE7NORTH CAROLINA38
10/09 Loss 10FLORIDA STATE35NORTH CAROLINA25
10/16 Win 3MIAMI-FLORIDA42NORTH CAROLINA45
Record (4-3)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/30 Loss 13.60NORTH CAROLINANOTRE DAME19.3%
11/06 Loss 11.87WAKE FORESTNORTH CAROLINA22.5%
11/11 Loss 12.75NORTH CAROLINAPITTSBURGH20.9%
11/20 Win 31.08WOFFORDNORTH CAROLINA97.6%
11/26 Loss 5.51NORTH CAROLINANC STATE36.3%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 5 - 7
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 6.0 - 6.0
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%