Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2021 SMU Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/23/2021

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
09/04 Win 47ABILENE CHRISTIAN9SMU56
09/11 Win 23NORTH TEXAS12SMU35
09/18 Win 2SMU39LOUISIANA TECH37
09/25 Win 8SMU42TCU34
10/02 Win 24SO FLORIDA17SMU41
10/09 Win 7SMU31NAVY24
10/21 Win 29TULANE26SMU55
Record (7-0)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/30 Win 1.48SMUHOUSTON53.8%
11/06 Win 14.12SMUMEMPHIS81.5%
11/13 Win 12.46UCFSMU78.6%
11/20 Loss 10.03SMUCINCINNATI26.2%
11/27 Win 21.04TULSASMU91.0%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 11 - 1
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 10.3 - 1.7
Probability of Undefeated Season 8.2013%