Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2021 SOUTH ALABAMA Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/23/2021

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
09/04 Win 24SOUTHERN MISS7SOUTH ALABAMA31
09/11 Win 3SOUTH ALABAMA22BOWLING GREEN19
09/18 Win 7ALCORN STATE21SOUTH ALABAMA28
10/02 Loss 2LOUISIANA20SOUTH ALABAMA18
10/09 Loss 2SOUTH ALABAMA31TEXAS STATE33
10/14 Win 27GA SOUTHERN14SOUTH ALABAMA41
10/23 Loss 10SOUTH ALABAMA31ULM41
Record (4-3)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/30 Win 14.91ARKANSAS STATESOUTH ALABAMA82.9%
11/06 Loss 3.80SOUTH ALABAMATROY40.5%
11/13 Loss 14.84SOUTH ALABAMAAPPALACHIAN ST17.3%
11/20 Loss 14.25SOUTH ALABAMATENNESSEE18.2%
11/26 Loss 13.61COASTAL CAROLINASOUTH ALABAMA19.3%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 5 - 7
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 5.8 - 6.2
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%