Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2021 TEXAS STATE Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/23/2021

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
09/04 Loss 9BAYLOR29TEXAS STATE20
09/11 Win 6TEXAS STATE23FIU17
09/18 Loss 8UIW42TEXAS STATE34
09/25 Loss 38TEXAS STATE21EASTERN MICH59
10/09 Win 2SOUTH ALABAMA31TEXAS STATE33
10/16 Loss 3TROY31TEXAS STATE28
10/23 Loss 12TEXAS STATE16GEORGIA STATE28
Record (2-5)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/30 Loss 21.39TEXAS STATELOUISIANA8.7%
11/06 Loss 7.83ULMTEXAS STATE30.9%
11/13 Win 1.66GA SOUTHERNTEXAS STATE54.2%
11/20 Loss 25.65TEXAS STATECOASTAL CAROLINA5.1%
11/27 Win 2.87TEXAS STATEARKANSAS STATE57.2%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 4 - 8
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 3.6 - 8.4
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%