Payne College Football Power Ratings

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2021 UCF Team Predictions

Considers games played through 10/23/2021

Actuals:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor ScoreHomeScore
09/04 Win 5BOISE STATE31UCF36
09/11 Win 49BETHUNE-COOKMAN14UCF63
09/17 Loss 7UCF35LOUISVILLE42
10/02 Loss 4UCF30NAVY34
10/09 Win 4EAST CAROLINA16UCF20
10/16 Loss 35UCF21CINCINNATI56
10/22 Win 17MEMPHIS7UCF24
Record (4-3)

Predictions:
Game DayOutcome ByVisitor HomePWin
10/30 Win 9.22UCFTEMPLE72.1%
11/06 Win 14.56TULANEUCF82.3%
11/13 Loss 12.46UCFSMU21.4%
11/20 Win 24.00CONNECTICUTUCF93.7%
11/26 Win 12.69SO FLORIDAUCF79.0%

Predicted Season Record (Boolean Model) 8 - 4
Predicted Season Record (Probability Model) 7.5 - 4.5
Probability of Undefeated Season 0%